دوره 14، شماره 27 - ( 4-1397 )                   جلد 14 شماره 27 صفحات 95-110 | برگشت به فهرست نسخه ها

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filom S, panahi R. Ship Collision Probabilistic Risk Analysis by Traffic simulation in Persian Gulf. Journal Of Marine Engineering. 2018; 14 (27) :95-110
URL: http://marine-eng.ir/article-1-638-fa.html
فیلم سیاوش، پناهی روزبه. تحلیل ریسک احتمالاتی برخورد شناورها با شبیه‌سازی ترافیک در خلیج فارس. مهندسی دریا. 1397; 14 (27) :95-110

URL: http://marine-eng.ir/article-1-638-fa.html


دانشگاه تربیت مدرس
چکیده:   (104 مشاهده)
صنعت حمل و نقل دریایی، به عنوان زیربنای اصلی تجارت جهانی از اهمیت بسیاری برخوردار است. در این میان، دو سانحه برخورد و به گل نشستن شناورها، پرتکرارترین تهدیدات این صنعت هستند. برای مطالعه سانحه برخورد و برآورد ریسک وقوع آن، نیاز به شناسایی مسیر شناورها در بستر ترافیک دریایی است. برای این منظور، بهترین منبع، اطلاعات ثبت‌شده توسط سیستم شناسایی خودکار شناورها است، که مولفه‌های ترافیکی را مخابره می‌کند. با استفاده از مفهوم دامنه ایمن و پیاده‌سازی آن در بستر ترافیکی، نقاط مستعد برخورد مشخص می‏شوند. پس از شناسایی نقاط پرخطر توسط شبیه‌سازی ترافیک، احتمال وقوع برخورد در نقاط پرخطر با استفاده از شبکه بایزین تحلیل می‏گردد. تحقیق حاضر، نمونه‏ای از روش‏های نوین تحلیل ریسک سوانح دریایی را ارائه می‏نماید، که در کشور بدون سابقه است.
متن کامل [PDF 1705 kb]   (55 دریافت)    
نوع مطالعه: مقاله پژوهشي | موضوع مقاله: Ship Structure
دریافت: ۱۳۹۶/۶/۱۰ | پذیرش: ۱۳۹۷/۵/۱۶

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